Will open armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea before the end of 2026?
30% YES · 70% NO — $0 traded · 0 unique traders. Trade this market on BlockForecast, Africa's prediction market on Base. Settle in USDC.
open armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea before the end of 2026.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if sustained direct armed hostilities between the national military forces of the two countries occur on or before 31 December 2026, as confirmed by official statements or independent monitoring; NO if no such interstate fighting occurs by then. VOID if the two governments formally merge or one ceases to exist as a sovereign state before year-end.
Market details
- Question: Will open armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea before the end of 2026?
- Category: politics
- Trading closes: Dec 31, 2026, 11:29 PM UTC
- Resolves: Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Current price: YES 30¢ · NO 70¢ (out of 100¢)
- Volume: $0 traded
- Traders: 0 unique addresses
- Settlement: USDC on Base L2
- Resolution: Multi-agent AI oracle, automatic
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- The AI oracle resolves the market automatically once the resolution criteria are met. Winning shares pay $1 each.