Will the long-governing party fall below 40% of the national vote in South Africa's November 2026 municipal elections?
55% YES · 45% NO — $0 traded · 0 unique traders. Trade this market on BlockForecast, Africa's prediction market on Base. Settle in USDC.
the long-governing party fall below 40% of the national vote in South Africa's November 2026 municipal elections.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if the long-governing party's aggregate national share of the vote in the 4 November 2026 municipal elections is officially certified below 40%; NO if 40% or above. VOID if the municipal elections are postponed beyond 2026-11-30 or cancelled.
Market details
- Question: Will the long-governing party fall below 40% of the national vote in South Africa's November 2026 municipal elections?
- Category: politics
- Trading closes: Nov 30, 2026, 11:29 PM UTC
- Resolves: Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Current price: YES 55¢ · NO 45¢ (out of 100¢)
- Volume: $0 traded
- Traders: 0 unique addresses
- Settlement: USDC on Base L2
- Resolution: Multi-agent AI oracle, automatic
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