BlockForecast

politics · Open for trading · Resolves Aug 17, 2026, 10:59 PM UTC

Will INEC declare Ademola Adeleke the winner of the August 15, 2026 Osun State governorship election?

52% YES · 48% NO — $0 traded · 0 unique traders. Trade this market on BlockForecast, Africa's prediction market on Base. Settle in USDC.

Resolves YES if INEC's returning officer declares Ademola Adeleke (Accord) the winner of the 2026 Osun governorship election by Sep 30, 2026.

Resolution criteria

Resolves on the OFFICIAL declaration of a winner by the INEC returning officer for the Osun governorship election (scheduled 2026-08-15). The INITIAL INEC declaration controls; subsequent tribunal/court litigation, appeals, or annulments do NOT affect resolution. If postponed, resolution follows the INEC declaration for the rescheduled poll, up to 2026-09-30 23:59 WAT. If declared inconclusive, resolution follows INEC's final declaration after any supplementary poll (same deadline). No declaration by the deadline resolves NO.

Market details

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  3. Open this market and click YES or NO at the current price.
  4. The AI oracle resolves the market automatically once the resolution criteria are met. Winning shares pay $1 each.

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