Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a 30+ day ceasefire before December 31, 2026?
32% YES · 68% NO — $0 traded · 0 unique traders. Trade this market on BlockForecast, Africa's prediction market on Base. Settle in USDC.
A US-brokered 3-day ceasefire ran May 9-11, 2026 — the first significant pause in 4+ years of war. Broader negotiations remain stalled over Donetsk. Trump publicly pushing for longer truce.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if both Russia and Ukraine publicly agree to and observe a ceasefire of at least 30 consecutive days at any point between today and December 31, 2026, as confirmed by Reuters or AP. Resolves NO if no such ceasefire is agreed to or if any agreed-upon ceasefire is broken by either side within 30 days.
Market details
- Question: Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a 30+ day ceasefire before December 31, 2026?
- Category: politics
- Trading closes: Dec 31, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
- Resolves: Jan 2, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC
- Current price: YES 32¢ · NO 68¢ (out of 100¢)
- Volume: $0 traded
- Traders: 0 unique addresses
- Settlement: USDC on Base L2
- Resolution: Multi-agent AI oracle, automatic
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