Will Tinubu's approval rating cross 40% in any major poll before July 31, 2026?
50% YES · 50% NO — $0 traded · 0 unique traders. Trade this market on BlockForecast, Africa's prediction market on Base. Settle in USDC.
Tinubu approval went from 11% (Feb 2024) to ~40% (March 2026 NOI Polls) — bounced back to ~37% (mid-2026 EBDA). Crossing 40% before July 31 looks like a coin-flip: rising on macro stabilisation, falling on fuel/petrol pain.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if any of NOI Polls, EBDA, Verité Research, or Africa Polling Institute publishes a poll showing President Bola Tinubu's approval rating at 40.0% or higher, with field dates between today and July 31, 2026. Resolves NO if no such poll is published in that window.
Market details
- Question: Will Tinubu's approval rating cross 40% in any major poll before July 31, 2026?
- Category: politics
- Trading closes: Jul 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
- Resolves: Aug 1, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Current price: YES 50¢ · NO 50¢ (out of 100¢)
- Volume: $0 traded
- Traders: 0 unique addresses
- Settlement: USDC on Base L2
- Resolution: Multi-agent AI oracle, automatic
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- The AI oracle resolves the market automatically once the resolution criteria are met. Winning shares pay $1 each.