Will President Tinubu announce a cabinet reshuffle (replace ≥1 minister) before July 31, 2026?
50% YES · 50% NO — $0 traded · 0 unique traders. Trade this market on BlockForecast, Africa's prediction market on Base. Settle in USDC.
Tinubu reshuffled his cabinet once in Oct 2024. With the 2027 election cycle now active and opposition coalitions forming, mid-2026 is a natural window. Press has speculated about portfolios in education and petroleum.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if President Bola Tinubu officially announces the removal or replacement of at least one substantive cabinet minister between today and July 31, 2026 — confirmed by an official Presidency statement (statehouse.gov.ng) AND reported by at least two of: Reuters, AP, Channels TV, Premium Times, Punch, Vanguard. Acting appointments and undersecretary changes do NOT count. Resolves NO otherwise.
Market details
- Question: Will President Tinubu announce a cabinet reshuffle (replace ≥1 minister) before July 31, 2026?
- Category: politics
- Trading closes: Jul 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
- Resolves: Aug 1, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
- Current price: YES 50¢ · NO 50¢ (out of 100¢)
- Volume: $0 traded
- Traders: 0 unique addresses
- Settlement: USDC on Base L2
- Resolution: Multi-agent AI oracle, automatic
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